Phoenix: Finally NASCAR is Worth Watching Again

Harvick celebrates his 8th Phoenix win. There's a reason they call him "The Closer".

Harvick celebrates his 8th Phoenix win. There’s a reason they call him “The Closer”.

I know, villagers, pitchforks and all that. However the truth is, at least for me, is that NASCAR over the past decade has been a once popular child that had lost it’s way. A victim of group-think.

It never seems to amaze me just how hard it is for large corporations to change their processes, marketing or product to suit what the consumer want’s and needs.

For me, I just sat in amazement years ago, or rather disbelief, as they rolled out the ‘Car of Tomorrow’ and steadily tried to make an Edsel into a Ferrari. All those wasted years. No matter, they seem to have turned the corner, at least so far in the 2016 season.

The lower down-force cars have certainly been a step in the right direction if Phoenix is to be used as the barometer de jour for a functioning formula.

I watched the Phoenix race yesterday and sat back in amazement at how long it took NASCAR to get to this point. Over a decade to recover the hard on-track battles that had been the norm pre COT. Incredible.

However, the past is the past and looking too far back on it does no one any favors. Lets just hope NASCAR will build on the platform it has. Translation: Don’t be afraid to take more down-force off of these cars.

Phoenix was the one race I had looked forward to seeing simply because it’s a flatter and more challenging track in many ways than the 1.5 milers. To me that was to be the first of several tests that would reflect the success or failure of the new aero platform. Fontana is the next.

I don’t think anyone could argue that to date Phoenix was the best race for both the fans in the seats and the television viewers. Multiple passes, Kyle Busch’s early dominance not withstanding, were the norm throughout the race.

Edwards did everything he could to beat Harvick. Just .01 seconds made the difference.

Edwards did everything he could to beat Harvick. Just .01 seconds made the difference.

A few bugs here and there were the tires that left Newman, Menard, Stenhouse and Keselowski in the outhouse, but not something that Goodyear can’t work with for the upcoming one milers and shorter.

No one should be surprised that even though the drivers wanted less down-force, the teams will and should try to add back as much of the invisible grip as they can. The only cure for it is to mandate, albeit slowly, less down-force.

There is a point where removing down-force will end and we’ll be looking at a locked in spec series. One could argue that it is now, but in this case what we’ve had in the past will make the newest platforms brilliant by comparison.

Some detractors might say that it’s the same old group of teams and drivers up at the front so it’s business as usual. To that mindset I have to say: What do you expect? It wouldn’t matter what rules you handed Hendrick or Penske, they are going to be at the front along with the hand picked drivers they employ. That’s why they are who they are.

We may be looking at a point in NASCAR where growth could come back to the sport, although that is going to take more time than folks might imagine. It’s always difficult to cultivate new fans all the while trying to keep the ones you have. Remediating lost fans is almost impossible.

However from what I’ve seen so far this season, they have my attention and I’m looking forward to the Auto Club race. High speed, flat track and low down-force. I’m sure that the fans who make the trek to Fontana will get their money’s worth.

 

Where Did the Season Go – Fantasy Insight Homestead-Miami

Kyle Busch

It seems like just yesterday I was providing everyone my fearless forecast for the Daytona 500 in an article called “New Ride Versus Lame Duck.” My pick of Matt Kenseth led 86 laps before his engine went up in smoke.

There have been some great picks this year and some not so great picks but along the way I attempted to give you an insight into NASCAR Fantasy Racing strategy. Where did the season go?

Now we head to Homestead-Miami Speedway for the final race of 2013. Getting used to the new aero package has led to challenges for fantasy race handicappers. Now we hear that NASCAR has big changes planned for 2014, which will give handicappers more gray hairs. Dissecting past performances is all about comparing apples to apples and oranges to oranges but this season with all of the changes we have had to make some educated guesses at times.

There are two schools of thoughts with how to handle the handicapping for the big three at Miami this week. Consistency pays off for fantasy race handicappers so I would not be afraid to pick Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth, or Kevin Harvick this week. All three guys will have strong races but I decided to step out and go for some sleepers this week as I attempt to end the season with a winning pick. This advice might pay off even more if you have used up your Kenseth and Johnson starts in the Yahoo race game format.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Miami.       

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Variable cloudiness with a slight chance for showers and a high in the low 80s

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Clint Bowyer

 

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

95

D Earnhardt Jr

94

K Harvick

93

Ky Busch

91

B Keselowski

90

M Kenseth

90

C Bowyer

89

J Logano

88

G Biffle

88

K Kahne

87 

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Mia

C Edwards

95

D Hamlin

94

M Truex

94

M Kenseth

93

K Harvick

92

J Johnson

89

C Bowyer

89

K Kahne

88

J Burton

87

G Biffle

86           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

J Logano

93

K Harvick

93

R Newman

92

M Kenseth

91

M Truex

90

K Kahne

90

Ky Busch

90

J Johnson

88

D Hamlin

87

Ku Busch

86

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Jeff Gordon

 

Driver

Power

K Harvick

278

M Kenseth

274

J Johnson

272

M Truex

270

K Kahne

265

D Hamlin

265

C Bowyer

264

C Edwards

263

R Newman

263

Ky Busch

259

G Biffle

259

J Logano

258

B Keselowski

257

Ku Busch

255

J Gordon

252

D Earnhardt Jr

252

R Stenhouse Jr

250

J Burton

246

J McMurray

246

P Menard

244

JP Montoya

241

M Martin

241

T Bayne

237

A Almirola

236

M Ambrose

232

C Mears

226

D Gilliland

226

D Patrick

225

D Ragan

224

D Reutimann

223

D Blaney

219 

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 23rd)  

Kyle Busch- Led over 190 laps here last year

(5 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 17th)      

Clint Bowyer- Looking for strong finish to weird end of season

(20 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 3rd)       

Jeff Gordon- Winner here last year and team is stronger this year

(12 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 13th)           

Mark Martin- Would be fairy tale finish to career to win this week

(100 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 25th)                

Trevor Bayne- Sentimental pick after the announcement of his illness

(100 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Miami

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each eight-driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 35 and Lori leads the game 19-16 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Kyle Busch and Lori picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Lori picks Brad Keselowski and Dennis picks Carl Edwards

Group 3: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Jeff Burton

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Dennis picks Trevor Bayne and Lori picks AJ Allmendinger

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Two To Go For Two To Go – Fantasy Insight Phoenix 2

Jimmie Johnson

In NASCAR fantasy racing you have to be sure that your pick is really trying to win the race or at least finish up front. Once the championship battle is out of hand with one guy leading by a huge amount that team usually goes into “safe mode” and is no longer a top pick, despite being a top team all year. Thankfully we do not have that issue to factor in for the last two races since with two to go we have two to go for the championship.

Did you save your Jimmie Johnson and/or Matt Kenseth races on Yahoo Fantasy Racing? If you did so you have a very easy choice the last two weeks and you can’t really choose wrong either way.

Between Johnson and Kenseth they have won 13 of the 34 races for a winning percentage of 38%. They have 26 top five finishes and 41 top ten finishes between the two of them also. That is a top ten percentage of 60%. Only three drivers have a Power Rating over 270, which is considered superb and two of those drivers are Kenseth and Johnson.  

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Phoenix.       

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Partly cloudy with a comfortable high in the upper 70s  

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Matt Kenseth

 

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

94

K Harvick

93

D Earnhardt Jr

93

M Kenseth

92

C Bowyer

90

J Logano

89

J Gordon

89

B Keselowski

89

G Biffle

88

Ky Busch

86 

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

D Hamlin

94

K Harvick

92

B Keselowski

90

J Johnson

89

R Stenhouse Jr

89

C Edwards

88

G Biffle

88

K Kahne

88

Ky Busch

87

M Kenseth

87           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Jeff Burton

 

Driver

Type

M Kenseth

96

C Edwards

93

J Gordon

93

Ky Busch

91

J McMurray

91

K Harvick

90

J Johnson

90

D Earnhardt Jr

90

G Biffle

90

J Burton

88 

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

K Harvick

276

M Kenseth

275

J Johnson

274

D Earnhardt Jr

268

D Hamlin

266

C Edwards

266

J Gordon

266

B Keselowski

266

G Biffle

265

Ky Busch

265

C Bowyer

256

Ku Busch

255

J Burton

253

K Kahne

252

M Truex

252

R Newman

252

JP Montoya

252

P Menard

252

J McMurray

251

R Stenhouse Jr

248

J Logano

248

A Almirola

243

M Martin

240

M Ambrose

238

D Patrick

226

C Mears

226

D Gilliland

226

D Ragan

218

D Reutimann

218

D Blaney

216

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 4th)

Matt Kenseth- By the numbers he is a slight favorite over that other guy

(4 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 14th)      

Jeff Burton- A solid choice at great odds

(50 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished WINNER)      

Jimmie Johnson- The other obvious choice each week

(3 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 12th)           

Greg Biffle- Another solid track for The Biff

(12 to 1 odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 16th)                

Elliott Sadler- Don’t expect better than 20th  

Crazy 8s for Phoenix

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each  eight- driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 4-1 in week 34 and Lori leads the game 19-15 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Matt Kenseth and Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Dennis picks Brad Keselowski and Lori picks Kasey Kahne

Group 3: Lori picks Denny Hamlin and Dennis picks Jeff Burton

Group 4: Dennis picks Mark Martin and Lori picks David Ragan

Group 5: Lori picks Elliott Sadler and Dennis picks Justin Allgaier

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Not Crazy if it Works – Fantasy Insight Martinsville 2

Jeff Gordon

There are funny NFL commercials running lately that show fans doing crazy things in order to bring good luck to their team. From wearing matching socks to putting labels out for a field goal, to inviting that obnoxious friend because the team never loses when he is there, the commercials are hilarious. Those commercials also are so true to life I think we have all seen ourselves in these spots with our own weird good luck charms. It really isn’t crazy if it works!

Don’t doubt the power of a good luck charm or the power of a curse! During the 1945 World Series a bar owner in Chicago tried to bring his pet goat to the game and was denied entrance. This fan was so outraged that he put a curse on the Chicago Cubs that lives to this day (How else could you explain Steve Bartman 10 years ago).

Last year during the finals of the Stanley Cup my beloved Chicago Blackhawks needed my help so despite the hot weather it was time to bring out the Blackhawks hoodie for game six. I might have sweated a small puddle but Lord Stanley’s Cup came home to Sweet Home Chicago!

When it comes to NASCAR there is nothing more powerful than the Pepsi Curse. Back when Jeff Gordon was winning 10 or more races a year it was all my fault he was so dominant. If I drank a Pepsi product on race day he won. On those days I switched to another beverage of choice he never won a race.

This weekend I am picking Jeff Gordon to break his winning drought at one of his best tracks. Forget the statistics I will be chugging a two-liter bottle with breakfast and another one during the race with my faux Martinsville hot dogs. Remember NASCAR fans…it really isn’t crazy if it works!  

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Martinsville.       

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Mostly sunny and cool with a high in the low 60s

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Jimmie Johnson

 

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

94

D Earnhardt Jr

93

M Kenseth

92

J Gordon

91

K Harvick

91

Ky Busch

91

G Biffle

90

J McMurray

90

J Logano

89

C Bowyer

88 

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Johnson

95

J Gordon

94

C Bowyer

91

D Hamlin

89

D Earnhardt Jr

89

B Keselowski

89

K Harvick

87

Ky Busch

87

M Kenseth

86

G Biffle

86           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

M Kenseth

95

C Edwards

94

K Harvick

91

J Gordon

91

D Earnhardt Jr

90

Ky Busch

89

J Burton

89

J Johnson

89

M Truex

88

J McMurray

87 

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Carl Edwards

 

Driver

Power

J Johnson

278

J Gordon

276

M Kenseth

273

D Earnhardt Jr

272

K Harvick

269

Ky Busch

267

C Edwards

265

C Bowyer

265

G Biffle

261

J McMurray

261

R Newman

257

J Burton

255

D Hamlin

254

M Truex

254

B Keselowski

253

J Logano

252

Ku Busch

252

A Almirola

249

P Menard

248

M Martin

248

JP Montoya

247

K Kahne

245

M Ambrose

234

R Stenhouse Jr

234

D Ragan

227

C Mears

225

D Gilliland

221

D Reutimann

220

D Patrick

218

D Blaney

217 

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 20th)  

Jeff Gordon- Best chance to end the winless drought this year

(6 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 21st)     

Carl Edwards- Only his recent woes get you high odds this week

(30 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 13th)     

Jimmie Johnson- Wins the “Most Likely to Finish in the Top Five” award every week

(9 to 5 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 2nd)          

Jeff Burton- Excellent flat track driver

(100 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 6th)              

Kyle Larson- His dirt track skills transfer well here

Crazy 8s for Martinsville

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each eight- driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 3-2 in week 32 and Lori leads the game 18-14 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Jimmie Johnson and Dennis picks Jeff Gordon

Group 2: Dennis picks Carl Edwards and Lori picks Brad Keselowski

Group 3: Lori picks Martin Truex Jr and Dennis picks Jeff Burton

Group 4: Dennis picks Mark Martin and Lori picks David Ragan

Group 5: Lori picks Kyle Larson and Dennis picks Ken Schrader

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Cream Does Rise – Fantasy Insight Kansas 2

Matt Kenseth

One of the most overused clichés in sports is also one of the most accurate clichés in sports…the cream does rise to the top.

In NASCAR that fact has become very apparent during the Chase races at the end of each season. Last week at Dover all 10 drivers in the top 10 were Chase drivers as expected and that trend is likely to continue when you look at past performances.

Over the course of the 10-year history of the Chase, the Chase drivers have won 83% of the final ten races of the season. Since the Chase expanded to 12 drivers that percentage has jumped to 93%. Does it pay to pick a non-Chase guy to win this week despite the statistical evidence?

Earlier this week on the Doin’ Donuts radio show on RaceTalkRadio.com Lori Munro explained the poor performance of Brad Keselowski this season. “His car is hung over and needs to go to rehab,” quipped Lori. How can you argue with this brilliant analysis?

The former champion was one of the most consistent drivers in NASCAR the previous two seasons and this year his record was as erratic as the performance of the United States Congress. But this week he is my pick against logic to break through with a win. His “Horses for Courses” rating is strong here and if you are a regular reader you know I like to predict the upset special.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Kansas.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Sunny and cool with a high near 64F

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 

NASCAR by the Numbers 

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Brad Keselowski

 

Driver Last 5
M Kenseth 95
Ky Busch 94
J Gordon 92
R Newman 92
Ku Busch 91
K Harvick 90
J McMurray 90
M Truex 89
G Biffle 89
D Earnhardt Jr 88

 

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver Course
M Kenseth 97
J Johnson 95
B Keselowski 94
K Kahne 94
D Hamlin 91
K Harvick 91
C Edwards 90
M Truex 88
P Menard 88
C Bowyer 87

 

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver Type
J Johnson 95
M Kenseth 94
K Kahne 94
C Bowyer 91
B Keselowski 91
M Truex 91
K Harvick 90
Ky Busch 90
J Gordon 88
R Stenhouse Jr 87

 

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Dale Earnhardt, Jr.

 

Driver Power
M Kenseth 286
J Johnson 277
K Harvick 271
M Truex 269
K Kahne 268
B Keselowski 266
Ky Busch 265
J Gordon 264
Ku Busch 261
D Earnhardt Jr 260
C Bowyer 260
J McMurray 260
R Stenhouse Jr 259
C Edwards 259
R Newman 258
G Biffle 255
P Menard 252
D Hamlin 250
M Ambrose 248
J Logano 247
A Almirola 244
M Martin 244
J Burton 241
JP Montoya 240
Brian Vickers 237
AJ Allmendinger 236
D Patrick 226
D Ragan 224
D Gilliland 221
T Kvapil 221
C Mears 220
D Reutimann 216
D Blaney 214

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com 

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 6th)  

Brad Keselowski- He needs a win to rescue this lost season

(12 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 3rd)   

Dale Earnhardt Jr- Team found missing spark and Junior is good on flatter speedways

(25 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished WINNER)   

Matt Kenseth- The most likely driver to earn a top five finish this week

(9 to 2 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 35th)        

Martin Truex Jr- Another non Chaser with a chance

(18 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 17th)            

Ricky Stenhouse Jr- Best of a weak group

Crazy 8s for Kansas

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 4-1 in week 29 and Lori leads the game 15-14 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Matt Kenseth and Lori picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Lori picks Dale Earnhardt Jr and Dennis picks Brad Keselowski

Group 3: Dennis picks Paul Menard and Lori picks Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks David Ragan

Group 5: Dennis picks Brian Vickers and Lori picks Justin Allgaier

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 


Horses For Courses To The Max – Fantasy Insight New Hampshire 2

Jeff Gordon

Over the years on Fantasy Insight I have preached about the Horses for Courses factor but there are certain times when the numbers are crazy. At Talladega back in the day as much as restrictor plate racing is called a wild card race Dale Earnhardt had a record much better than the average driver with an amazing 10 wins.

Rule changes came and went but Dale was the King of Dega. Nobody was better than Darrell Waltrip at Bristol Motor Speedway. “Old DW” once won seven races in a row there! When it comes to New Hampshire Motor Speedway the Mayor of NASCAR has a “Horses for Courses” rating to the max.

The last few years have been less than stellar for Jeff Burton. His average finishing position over the last three years has averaged worse than 19th. But his average finish at New Hampshire Motor Speedway during that time is 13th. Burton won races here four years in a row and earlier this year he finished 3rd. Burton is a 60 to 1 shot to win the race according to the bookies in Las Vegas and while I wouldn’t pick him on top this week he will be on my Yahoo Fantasy Racing team for sure.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for New Hampshire.      

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Mostly cloudy with periods of showers and a high temp in the upper 60s

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Jeff Burton

 

Driver

Last 5

M Kenseth

93

Ku Busch

91

J Gordon

91

R Newman

90

K Harvick

89

J Logano

88

G Biffle

88

P Menard

88

Ky Busch

87

K Kahne

87 

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Gordon

93

K Kahne

92

J Johnson

92

B Keselowski

91

D Hamlin

89

K Harvick

88

Brian Vickers

88

M Kenseth

88

G Biffle

87

C Bowyer

87           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Carl Edwards

 

Driver

Type

J Gordon

93

K Harvick

93

M Kenseth

93

C Edwards

93

J Johnson

89

C Bowyer

89

Ky Busch

89

J Burton

87

J McMurray

87

K Kahne

87

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

J Gordon

277

M Kenseth

273

K Harvick

270

K Kahne

266

C Edwards

265

C Bowyer

260

G Biffle

259

Ky Busch

259

J Johnson

257

J Burton

257

R Newman

257

P Menard

255

M Truex

255

D Earnhardt Jr

255

J Logano

254

B Keselowski

254

Brian Vickers

254

Ku Busch

252

J McMurray

250

JP Montoya

249

AJ Allmendinger

249

A Almirola

248

R Stenhouse Jr

246

D Hamlin

245

M Martin

242

M Ambrose

239

D Ragan

232

D Gilliland

224

D Patrick

222

D Blaney

219

T Kvapil

217

C Mears

217

D Reutimann

215

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 5th)

Matt Kenseth- Go with the hot hand

(8 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 10th)  

Carl Edwards- He will be in the hunt to flip at good odds

(20 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished WINNER)

Clint Bowyer- Unless NASCAR penalizes him for speeding on pit road…

(10 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 18th)       

Jeff Burton- Has always done better than his season average at NHMS

(60 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 8th)           

David Ragan- Unless you still have some Stenhouse starts this is your best option

Crazy 8s for New Hampshire

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 27 and Lori leads the game 15-12 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Matt Kenseth and Lori picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Lori picks Clint Bowyer and Dennis picks Brad Keselowski

Group 3: Dennis picks Jeff Burton and Lori picks Martin Truex Jr

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks Denny Hamlin

Group 5: Dennis picks Brian Vickers and Lori picks Bobby Labonte

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

It’s All Or Nothing – Fantasy Insight Richmond 2

Clint Bowyer

A famous philosopher Sir Elton John once told us “Saturday night is made for fighting.” This Saturday night at Richmond International Speedway is a showdown between the haves and the have-nots.

In NASCAR that means the guys with the wins and the guys without the wins. It’s all or nothing time to determine who gets in and who doesn’t get in the Chase.

There is no doubt that NASCAR has turned into a game of consistency and that helps us as fantasy racing handicappers. But this week since it is all or nothing eight drivers could use a win desperately to earn a spot in the Chase.

With only one race to go only half of the twelve spots in the Chase are locked up. This is exactly what NASCAR wanted to boost ratings – a free-for-all where only a win is certain to earn a spot into the Chase. But for fantasy race handicappers this all or nothing scenario is very risky.

If you want to take one of the MUST WIN guys this week my money is on Jeff Gordon. That is why I selected him for Crazy8s this week in the “Second Group.” But a better choice to win is Clint Bowyer. Throw out his last race where the experimental engine went poof and his “Consistency Rating” would be close to the top.

There is no doubt Richmond and all of the flat short tracks are his strength with half of his eight career wins coming on this type of track. Kyle Busch is hot and he is also a strong pick and the fact that it has been 323 races since Jimmie Johnson had three bad races in a row and you know he is due for a strong run.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Richmond.      

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Partly cloudy with only a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm…high temp around 85 with a green flag temp of 80F and a checkered flag temp of 74F  

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Jeff Gordon

 

Driver

Last 5

J Logano

96

Ku Busch

90

Ky Busch

90

JP Montoya

89

R Newman

89

G Biffle

88

J Gordon

88

M Truex

87

C Bowyer

86

M Ambrose

86

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

D Hamlin

93

C Bowyer

92

C Edwards

92

K Harvick

91

Ky Busch

90

AJ Allmendinger

89

D Earnhardt Jr

88

M Martin

87

R Newman

87

R Stenhouse Jr

87           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

J Johnson

95

C Bowyer

93

J Gordon

93

C Edwards

93

M Kenseth

92

K Harvick

92

Brian Vickers

90

J Burton

89

Ky Busch

88

D Earnhardt Jr

88

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Kyle Busch

 

Driver

Power

C Bowyer

272

C Edwards

270

K Harvick

269

Ky Busch

268

J Gordon

267

M Kenseth

264

J Johnson

259

D Earnhardt Jr

259

JP Montoya

258

K Kahne

257

Brian Vickers

256

J Logano

255

G Biffle

254

R Newman

252

B Keselowski

252

D Hamlin

251

J Burton

250

Ku Busch

250

J McMurray

249

AJ Allmendinger

248

A Almirola

248

R Stenhouse Jr

246

M Martin

245

P Menard

244

M Truex

242

M Ambrose

241

D Ragan

236

C Mears

228

D Blaney

224

D Patrick

223

D Gilliland

220

T Kvapil

217

D Reutimann

216

D Stremme

216

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 36th)

Clint Bowyer- One of the best flatter track drivers in Cup

(12 to 1 Odds)   

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 2nd)    

Brian Vickers- Should be in the hunt for the win Saturday night

(25 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 28th)

Jimmie Johnson- Has never had four races in a row outside of the top 25

(7 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week WINNER)      

Kyle Busch- On a nice run right now so ride the hot driver

(5 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 19th)         

Ricky Stenhouse Jr- Only logical pick in this group this week

(100 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Richmond 2

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 25 and Lori leads the game 14-11 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Clint Bowyer and Lori picks Kyle Busch

Group 2: Lori picks Kasey Kahne and Dennis picks Jeff Gordon

Group 3: Dennis picks Juan Pablo Montoya and Lori picks Paul Menard

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks Denny Hamlin

Group 5: Dennis picks Brian Vickers and Lori picks AJ Allmendinger

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

‘Frankentire Factor’ – Fantasy Insight Atlanta

Kasey Kahne

Another factor that crosses over from horse race handicapping to fantasy race handicapping is the equipment change. In the past I have talked at length about how you have to mentally adjust someone’s chances in a particular race if you see the driver in different equipment.

But one other factor that affects each driver in the race is tires. This week at Atlanta Motor Speedway Goodyear is introducing the tire dubbed as “Frankentire” and the fantasy handicapper has to wonder how this might change the dynamic of the race. This week the “Frankentire Factor” needs to be considered in addition to the other variables.

When it comes to tires we have one useful piece of data to consider. NASCAR and the tracks let us know which drivers went to tire testing. If we combine that info with the Power Ratings we can diagnose if one of the drivers that tested a new tire at a track might have an advantage.

The right side tire at AMS this week is unique because it uses a compound used at Kansas and Michigan on the inside three inches of the tire with the compound used at Atlanta in the past on the rest of the tire. We usually do not have test times to compare one driver to the next so it is more about familiarity with the tire than pure speed that helps us develop our educated guess on the “Frankentire Factor” this week.

They say familiarity breeds contempt in relationships but in tires familiarity can be the key to a trip to Victory Lane. Aric Almirola, Kurt Busch, Carl Edwards, Kasey Kahne, Matt Kenseth, Brad Keselowski, Jamie McMurray, Casey Mears, Paul Menard, David Ragan, David Reutimann, Martin Truex Jr. and J.J. Yeley were the drivers testing at Atlanta on the new tire.

Kasey Kahne was the only driver involved in the tire test to choose the new tire that returned for the regular test at Atlanta. This gives Kahne a slight advantage on the “Frankentire” and when combined with the third best Power Rating that makes Kahne my choice this week.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Atlanta.      

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Variable cloudiness with a threat of thunderstorms; high temp in the mid to upper 80s; temps falling into the mid 70s during the race.

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Joey Logano

Driver

Last 5

J Logano

94

K Kahne

91

R Newman

89

JP Montoya

89

Ku Busch

88

C Bowyer

88

Ky Busch

88

J Gordon

87

M Kenseth

87

C Edwards

86

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Gordon

92

M Kenseth

91

Brian Vickers

90

JP Montoya

90

K Harvick

89

Ku Busch

89

D Hamlin

87

AJ Allmendinger

86

Ky Busch

86

B Keselowski

85           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

J Johnson

92

J Logano

92

C Edwards

92

M Truex

92

D Hamlin

92

Ky Busch

91

M Kenseth

91

K Kahne

90

K Harvick

90

B Keselowski

89

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

M Kenseth

269

Ky Busch

265

K Kahne

264

K Harvick

264

J Logano

262

Ku Busch

261

J Johnson

260

B Keselowski

260

M Truex

260

Brian Vickers

259

C Edwards

259

G Biffle

258

JP Montoya

257

R Newman

257

J Gordon

256

D Hamlin

255

C Bowyer

254

P Menard

252

D Earnhardt Jr

251

AJ Allmendinger

248

M Ambrose

247

A Almirola

244

J McMurray

242

Austin Dillon

242

M Martin

242

J Burton

241

R Stenhouse Jr

236

C Mears

225

D Ragan

223

D Stremme

222

D Reutimann

221

D Gilliland

221

B Labonte

220

T Kvapil

219

D Patrick

219

D Blaney

218

Kyle Busch

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 11th)

Kasey Kahne- “Frankentire Factor” and strong Power Rating add up to a winning pick

(7 to 1 Odds) 

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 4th)   

Joey Logano- Needs a win so team willing to take a strategy gamble

(20 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 30th)

Jimmie Johnson- Should bounce back big from two sub par performances

(5 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 20th)         

Kyle Busch- Hottest driver in NASCAR right now

(7 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 18th)         

Austin Dillon- Will offer a solid group pick to manage your Stenhouse usage

(100 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Atlanta

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 24 and Lori leads the game 14-10 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson and Lori picks Matt Kenseth

Group 2: Lori picks Joey Logano and Dennis picks Brad Keselowski

Group 3: Dennis picks Paul Menard and Lori picks Denny Hamlin

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Dennis picks Brian Vickers and Lori picks Austin Dillon

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Road Trouble – Fantasy Insight Michigan 2

Kasey Kahne

Regular readers will recall that handicapping a NASCAR race is just like handicapping a horse race and I regularly use horse picking methods taught to me by one of the best horse racing handicappers that ever lived…my dad.

Hanging out at the track as a kid I noticed that a few of the horse players carried a little notebook with them and they would scribble a few notes after every race. Being a curious little tyke I learned that they were writing down which horses had “road trouble” during the race. If a horse finished three lengths behind the winner but was locked on the rail and couldn’t get racing room or had to go three or four wide turning for home they would often be stronger the following week with a better trip.

In NASCAR racing it pays to also take some notes because the finishing position of each driver doesn’t always indicate how good of a race he had that week. A classic example of that this week is looking at the earlier results from the first race at Michigan. Greg Biffle won the race and many handicappers will expect him to double up. Even Biffle admits that he didn’t have the best car that day but he had the best trip. Hendrick Motorsports was the class of the race but one after another it self-destructed.

Kasey Kahne appeared to be unbeatable before the Goody left his Goodyears. Dale Earnhardt Jr. was also out front cruising before his engine erupted. Jimmie Johnson was closing for the win when he had tire trouble. Add to those performances that Hendrick built equipment won at Pocono and Indianapolis…two tracks in the same track type classification…and good notes will pick you a winner this week.   

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Michigan.      

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Chamber of Commerce weather with lots of sunshine and a high temp in the upper 70s.

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

94

Ky Busch

93

B Keselowski

89

C Bowyer

89

K Harvick

88

R Newman

88

J McMurray

88

Ku Busch

88

D Earnhardt Jr

87

C Edwards

87 

Kyle Busch

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

C Bowyer

93

M Kenseth

92

G Biffle

92

Ky Busch

90

R Newman

90

B Keselowski

89

C Edwards

88

K Harvick

87

D Earnhardt Jr

86

M Truex

86           

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

Ky Busch

94

J Logano

93

R Newman

92

G Biffle

91

D Earnhardt Jr

91

C Edwards

89

J Johnson

89

Ku Busch

88

K Harvick

88

J Gordon

88

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

Ky Busch

277

R Newman

270

G Biffle

267

J Johnson

265

D Earnhardt Jr

264

C Edwards

264

C Bowyer

264

K Harvick

263

B Keselowski

263

M Kenseth

262

M Truex

257

J Logano

255

J Gordon

254

K Kahne

251

Ku Busch

250

J McMurray

249

P Menard

245

J Burton

241

A Almirola

241

M Ambrose

240

JP Montoya

239

M Martin

238

Austin Dillon

237

D Hamlin

234

T Bayne

234

R Stenhouse Jr

234

C Mears

232

D Ragan

231

B Labonte

226

D Patrick

224

D Gilliland

224

T Kvapil

221

D Reutimann

218

D Blaney

218

D Stremme

213

Jimmie Johnson

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 9th)

Kasey Kahne- Strong here earlier in the year before tire issues

(7 to 1 Odds) 

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 11th)   

Ryan Newman- Great price fresh off a win on the same track type

(30 to 1 Odds)   

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 2nd)    

Jimmie Johnson- Virtual lock for a top five at any track

(5 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 31st)         

Joey Logano- Team and driver hungry for a win

(25 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 10th)         

Austin Dillon- Solid pick to finish in top 20

(40 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Michigan 2

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each eight-driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 21 and Lori leads the game 14-8 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson and Lori picks Dale Earnhardt Jr

Group 2: Lori picks Greg Biffle and Dennis picks Kasey Kahne

Group 3: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Dennis picks Austin Dillon and Lori picks Trevor Bayne

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Back to the Beach – Fantasy Insight Daytona 2

Dale Earnhardt, Jr

Handicapping races this year was tough since we didn’t have a good track record on how the change to the Gen Six car would affect teams. But now the NASCAR traveling circus returns to Daytona International Speedway – where it got started. 

Summer under the lights versus during the day in February almost makes this a different track but we have learned quite a bit about the Gen Six as we head back to the beach. 

Toyota came out of the box ready to go but with an engine package that would give up if you pushed it too hard. Seventeen races into the season the TRD engine program has things dialed in just right. 

Ford has been a little behind so while the Roush-Fenway Fords have been contenders they have not hit their best stride yet. Chevy is a mixed bag with Hendrick Motorsports ahead of the game with RCR and Ganassi quickly catching up. 

They say the old man Earnhardt could see the air but this week I see his kid putting it all together and getting the win. The B-Group of drivers from the Yahoo Fantasy Racing game is stocked with lots of potential winners this week.   

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Kentucky.       

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

National Speedway Directory 

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com 

Weather Report 

Very warm and humid with a chance of thunderstorms. High temp around 90F with a green flag temp in the mid 80s.

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 

NASCAR by the Numbers 

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

C Bowyer

93

K Harvick

92

J Logano

92

Ky Busch

90

J Gordon

89

G Biffle

89

T Stewart

88

Ku Busch

88

J Johnson

87

M Truex

87

Jamie McMurray

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Logano

88

P Menard

88

D Earnhardt Jr

88

M Kenseth

87

T Stewart

86

B Labonte

85

C Edwards

85

R Newman

85

D Hamlin

85

G Biffle

84 

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

B Keselowski

93

M Kenseth

91

R Stenhouse Jr

88

D Earnhardt Jr

87

G Biffle

86

D Ragan

86

A Almirola

85

J Gordon

85

R Newman

84

M Waltrip

84

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

M Kenseth

262

D Earnhardt Jr

262

G Biffle

260

B Keselowski

259

J Logano

258

C Bowyer

256

Ky Busch

256

J Gordon

255

T Stewart

253

R Newman

253

C Edwards

252

J Burton

250

R Stenhouse Jr

250

J Johnson

249

M Truex

249

K Harvick

249

A Almirola

246

P Menard

246

M Waltrip

245

K Kahne

244

B Labonte

242

M Ambrose

242

D Ragan

240

Ku Busch

239

D Hamlin

239

AJ Allmendinger

238

D Gilliland

236

J McMurray

236

JP Montoya

234

T Bayne

234

C Mears

232

D Patrick

231

T Kvapil

230

D Reutimann

228

D Blaney

225

D Stremme

216

Matt Kenseth

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com 

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 35th)  

Dale Earnhardt Jr- My 88 tattoo is fresh and ready for a win

(12 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 4th)   

Jamie McMurray- Team has been consistent lately and strong at plate tracks

(28 to 1 Odds)  

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 9th)   

Matt Kenseth- Team is on a roll and strong in February before engine issues

(10 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week 5th)      

Joey Logano- Solid pick in strong B group at Daytona

(25 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 17th)       

Michael Waltrip- Save the regulars for more predictable tracks

(33 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Daytona 2

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 3-2 in week 17 and Lori leads the game 10-7 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Matt Kenseth and Dennis picks Dale Earnhardt Jr

Group 2: Dennis picks Joey Logano and Lori picks Kasey Kahne

Group 3: Lori picks Jamie McMurray and Dennis picks Tony Stewart

Group 4: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Lori picks Michael Waltrip and Dennis picks AJ Allmendinger

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

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