Every time the NASCAR Sprint Cup circus heads to Talladega Superspeedway we hear about how this race is a crap shoot, a flip of the coin or a spin of the old roulette wheel. People make this sound so unpredictable.
Oh sure, there are big crashes that sometimes take out the top guys and let a longshot win the race. But for every longshot winner there is a solid pick. If this race was such a crap shoot or a spin of the roulette wheel how did Dale Earnhardt win ten times? How did Dale Jr win four in a row? Maybe the Earnhardt family rigged this roulette wheel.
One thing that has made this race a little more unpredictable this year is the unknown over whether the two-car push will work at all here. Earlier this season at Daytona the restrictive rules and a change to the front end of these Gen Six cars seemed to make the two-car tandem difficult to pull off for any length of time.
But this is Talladega where the transitions in the corners are not as severe. This is Talladega where the tires don’t wear as bad as Daytona. My gut feeling is that we will see pack racing until the closing laps and then we will see a few guys figure out how to make the two-car push work. But if tandem racing goes away we might see a return of Earnhardt dominance of this roulette wheel. (And since Lori Munro from Doin’ Donuts on RaceTalkRadio.com has picked Junior this week include him on your race team).
Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Talladega.
Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.
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Weather Report
Mostly Cloudy with a threat of showers, high temp in the upper 60s
If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.
NASCAR by the Numbers
Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!
Consistency is King (Last Five Races)
|
Driver |
Last 5 |
|
J Johnson |
93 |
|
M Kenseth |
92 |
|
C Edwards |
91 |
|
K Kahne |
91 |
|
R Smith |
90 |
|
K Harvick |
90 |
|
C Bowyer |
89 |
|
A Almirola |
89 |
|
Ky Busch |
88 |
|
J Logano |
87 |
Horses for Courses (Track Rating)
|
Driver |
Course |
|
C Bowyer |
93 |
|
G Biffle |
90 |
|
B Keselowski |
90 |
|
M Kenseth |
86 |
|
J Burton |
86 |
|
J Gordon |
86 |
|
M Truex |
86 |
|
K Harvick |
85 |
|
K Kahne |
84 |
|
J Johnson |
84 |
Type Casting (Track Type Factor)
|
Driver |
Type |
|
M Kenseth |
92 |
|
G Biffle |
92 |
|
D Earnhardt Jr |
90 |
|
B Keselowski |
90 |
|
J Burton |
89 |
|
R Newman |
86 |
|
R Stenhouse Jr |
86 |
|
Ky Busch |
85 |
|
B Labonte |
84 |
|
C Bowyer |
84 |
Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)
|
Driver |
Power |
|
M Kenseth |
271 |
|
G Biffle |
268 |
|
C Bowyer |
267 |
|
B Keselowski |
265 |
|
J Burton |
259 |
|
K Kahne |
259 |
|
D Earnhardt Jr |
257 |
|
K Harvick |
256 |
|
J Johnson |
255 |
|
Ky Busch |
255 |
|
J Gordon |
254 |
|
P Menard |
253 |
|
M Truex |
253 |
|
R Smith |
252 |
|
C Edwards |
251 |
|
A Almirola |
251 |
|
J Logano |
251 |
|
R Newman |
247 |
|
T Bayne |
247 |
|
T Stewart |
242 |
|
M Waltrip |
240 |
|
R Stenhouse Jr |
240 |
|
J McMurray |
238 |
|
D Ragan |
237 |
|
T Kvapil |
236 |
|
D Reutimann |
236 |
|
B Labonte |
235 |
|
M Ambrose |
234 |
|
D Gilliland |
233 |
|
C Mears |
231 |
|
Ku Busch |
229 |
|
D Blaney |
228 |
|
JP Montoya |
226 |
|
D Patrick |
225 |
|
D Stremme |
213 |
DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com
Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.
Top Pick (Last Week Finished 2nd)
Clint Bowyer- Much better luck at Dega than Daytona
(12 to 1 Odds)
Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 38th)
Jeff Burton- RCR factor and Burton is smart plate racer
(40 to 1 Odds)
Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 12th)
Kevin Harvick- Love those RCR cars here
(12 to 1 Odds)
Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 24th)
Dale Earnhardt Jr- If pack racing is back this could be Dale’s race to lose
(12 to 1 Odds)
Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 16th)
Michael Waltrip- Came so close to winning here last season
(40 to 1 Odds)
Crazy 8s for Talladega
Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!
Lori won 3-2 in week 9 and leads the game 7-2 for the year
Group 1: Lori picks Dale Earnhardt Jr and Dennis picks Clint Bowyer
Group 2: Dennis picks Kevin Harvick and Lori picks Matt Kenseth
Group 3: Lori picks Tony Stewart and Dennis picks Jeff Burton
Group 4: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Danica Patrick
Group 5: Lori picks Michael Waltrip and Dennis picks Trevor Bayne
Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away!

















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