2258 Miles From Baer Field to Sonoma – Fantasy Insight Sonoma

Kevin Harvick

This is one of those weeks in NASCAR history that I will remember for a very long time. No it probably will not be because of a memorable race winner or a thrilling pass for the win. This will be a special moment because a young driver from Aztec, New Mexico will be making his NASCAR Sprint Cup Debut.

Over 2500 different drivers have logged a lap in the Sprint Cup division but Alex Kennedy will be the first for whom I ever handled PR duties on the way up through the minor leagues of racing. The first time I saw this kid behind the wheel of a race car I knew he had special talent.

It was at Baer Field that I first saw him test a stock car and watched former NASCAR Busch Series rookie of the year Glenn Allen Jr. check his stop watch in disbelief at the speed of this young kid. Over the years I watched Alex become an excellent stock car racer – and to become an amazing young man off the track as well.

Kennedy is NOT a “road course ringer.” But he has always performed well on the road courses in whatever he has driven. When he was a 13-year-old racing his Legends cars, his dad picked road courses for his races because Alex would get more seat time.

His expertise helped him win a big race at Sonoma in those Legends cars. “Kid Kennedy” couldn’t defend that title because of an age restriction imposed the following year. Kennedy finished 11th in a K&N West Series race at Sonoma in a car that had not seen a race track in almost three years.

His career best fourth-place finish in the K&N East Series came at Lime Rock, another road course, with a hard working, but under-funded, team. Kennedy finished 15th at Montreal last year driving for Nemco Motorsports in the NASCAR Nationwide Series.

“Kid Kennedy” has the talent to make an impact in NASCAR, but, like many young racers, he does not have the deep pockets needed to get a full-time ride in today’s stock car racing where the concept of driver development is a thing of the past.

But this Sunday in Tri-Star Motorsports’ No.19 Toyota, Kennedy will join those other 2500-plus drivers who made it to the highest level in NASCAR racing. If the right sponsor comes along, maybe this will be the first of many Cup starts for Alex “Kid” Kennedy from Aztec, New Mexico.

Good luck Alex!

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Sonoma.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

National Speedway Directory

Marcos Ambrose

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over three decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Partly sunny with a comfortable high temp near 80F 

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

K Harvick

95

T Stewart

94

C Bowyer

91

Ky Busch

90

J Logano

89

C Edwards

88

G Biffle

88

JP Montoya

88

J Burton

87

Ku Busch

87

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Gordon

95

J Johnson

94

C Bowyer

91

M Ambrose

90

T Stewart

89

K Kahne

86

JP Montoya

85

C Edwards

85

G Biffle

85

Brian Vickers

84 

Tony Stewart

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

M Ambrose

96

Ky Busch

91

B Keselowski

91

C Bowyer

90

J Gordon

90

J Johnson

89

C Edwards

89

K Harvick

89

M Truex

88

M Kenseth

88

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

C Bowyer

271

J Gordon

269

J Johnson

269

M Ambrose

266

K Harvick

266

T Stewart

266

Ky Busch

265

C Edwards

262

Ku Busch

258

M Kenseth

256

JP Montoya

255

G Biffle

255

J Logano

254

R Newman

253

M Truex

253

J Burton

251

B Keselowski

250

Brian Vickers

248

K Kahne

248

J McMurray

245

P Menard

240

C Mears

240

D Earnhardt Jr

239

R Stenhouse Jr

234

D Gilliland

234

D Hamlin

231

A Almirola

224

B Labonte

223

D Reutimann

222

T Kvapil

221

D Ragan

220

D Patrick

218

D Stremme

215

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 18th)  

Tony Stewart- Driver is hot and very good at road courses

(7 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 7th)

Ron Fellows- It’s been a long time since a road course ringer won at Cup but Ron can

(60 to 1 Odds) 

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 28th)  

Clint Bowyer- The defending champion and a solid road course racer

(10 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won)     

Marcos Ambrose- The best road course racer in NASCAR

(5 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 16th)     

Jacques Villeneuve- Likely to tick off someone but can win if he stays under control

(60 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Sonoma

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each eight-driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 15 and Lori leads the game 9-6 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Clint Bowyer and Lori picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Lori picks Tony Stewart and Dennis picks Jeff Gordon

Group 3: Dennis picks Marcos Ambrose and Lori picks Juan Pablo Montoya

Group 4: Lori picks Denny Hamlin and Dennis picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Dennis picks Ron Fellows and Lori picks Jacques Villeneuve

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Gen Six Type Casting – Fantasy Insight Michigan

Greg Biffle

Last week at Pocono we got a glimpse into what these new Gen Six cars will do on a low banking horsepower track. While this is just one race, Pocono does give us a pure look at car speed on this type of track. So this week we will rely on the Track Type numbers a little more than usual.

Oh sure, Pocono and Michigan seem worlds apart but over the years the cars that have performed well at one track do very well at the other.

Fontana also fits this track category but for several reasons I am discounting those results. First, the weather was vastly different at Fontana than we will see this weekend at Michigan. The second reason is that the Toyota brand backed off their horsepower last week and now promises to raise their horsepower again this week. Will they have issues?

Until we see more speed with durability the Toyota brand is a gamble. One curious factor to worry about also fits into the type casting ability of this track. Over the years Ford has dominated in the win department here but the blue oval only has one win over the last eight starts at MIS.

This might be the week Jimmie Johnson gets his first win at Michigan. His average finishing position of 15th is still in the top 10, despite being winless, and his qualifying average is the best of the NASCAR Cup regulars.

Despite a 27th place finish in his last start here he has scored the ninth most points in the last five races. But this week I like a longshot who seems to be rounding into form. Ryan Newman raced strong at Pocono and is hungry for a win with a team that is also picking up its program over the last four weeks. The “Rocket Man” won back-to-back at MIS in his sophomore season and is an attractive pick at 40-to-1 odds.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Michigan.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com

Weather Report

Increasing cloudiness with a threat of showers and thunderstorms, high temp around 79F.

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

90

K Harvick

89

C Edwards

89

T Stewart

89

C Bowyer

88

J Gordon

88

Ku Busch

87

JP Montoya

87

D Hamlin

86

D Earnhardt Jr

86

Ryan Newman

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

M Kenseth

93

C Bowyer

91

G Biffle

91

T Stewart

89

C Edwards

89

R Newman

89

D Earnhardt Jr

88

K Harvick

87

Ky Busch

87

AJ Allmendinger

86

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

G Biffle

95

R Newman

93

D Earnhardt Jr

91

Ky Busch

90

B Keselowski

89

J Johnson

89

K Kahne

89

R Smith

89

J Gordon

89

M Truex

88

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

G Biffle

268

D Earnhardt Jr

266

C Edwards

266

R Newman

265

C Bowyer

265

J Johnson

265

T Stewart

264

K Harvick

263

Ky Busch

261

J Gordon

260

M Truex

256

M Kenseth

256

D Hamlin

256

B Keselowski

255

K Kahne

252

M Ambrose

250

AJ Allmendinger

247

R Smith

246

J Logano

246

P Menard

246

JP Montoya

245

J McMurray

245

A Almirola

243

J Burton

243

R Stenhouse Jr

242

Ku Busch

240

M Martin

237

D Ragan

234

T Bayne

231

B Labonte

229

D Gilliland

228

D Reutimann

227

T Kvapil

224

C Mears

224

D Stremme

219

D Blaney

219

D Patrick

216

Jimmie Johnson

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 12th)  

Ryan Newman- Team and driver rounding into form for a win

(40 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 5th)

Clint Bowyer- Toyota down on horsepower is a concern but at a nice price

(25 to 1 Odds) 

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 1st)

Jimmie Johnson- A must have on your fantasy team every week.

(4 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 7th)     

Greg Biffle- Has been a strong Ford track in the past

(15 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 33rd)    

Ricky Stenhouse Jr- Another strong track for that first career win

(40 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Michigan

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 14 and Lori leads the game 9-5 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson and Lori picks Matt Kenseth

Group 2: Lori picks Brad Keselowski and Dennis picks Greg Biffle

Group 3: Dennis picks Ryan Newman and Lori picks Jamie McMurray

Group 4: Lori picks Denny Hamlin and Dennis picks Bobby Labonte

Group 5: Dennis picks Austin Dillon and Lori picks AJ Allmendinger

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Love the Pocono Triangle or Hate it – Fantasy Insight Pocono

Jeff Gordon

I have a love/hate relationship with Pocono Raceway. I love the fact this is a challenging track for the drivers but I hate that these races can sometimes drag on a bit too long. I love the fact this is a unique track and I hate the fact that traffic in and out of the track can be a pain in the neck. While I never want to see Pocono leave the NASCAR schedule I wonder why we need two races here so close apart.

When it comes to handicapping this race you have to look at the track rating with a little more care. Quite often these races turn into gas mileage affairs. Other times the pace of the race puts the outcome more in the hands of the drivers. This isn’t an oval and it certainly isn’t a road course but strategy used to both places as well as driver ability on both types of tracks comes into play at Pocono.

This week I also found a little gem of data hidden within the chafe. Jeff Gordon seems to be rounding into form with more consistent race results over the past five races. Nobody in NASCAR has won more races on a road course and Jeff Gordon is also strong at low banking/high speed race tracks. That combo platter makes Gordon my slight upset special to win this week as we go rovaling this weekend.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Pocono.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

National Speedway Directory

Hot off the press the 2013 edition of the National Speedway Directory is now available. For over 3 decades the NSD has given race fans and teams information about every track in North America. Order your copy today at http://speedwaysonline.com 

Weather Report

Variable cloudiness with a chance of showers and a high near 75F

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

C Edwards

92

C Bowyer

91

K Harvick

91

JP Montoya

89

J Gordon

88

J Johnson

88

M Kenseth

88

J Logano

87

T Stewart

86

Ku Busch

86

Ryan Newman

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Gordon

93

J Johnson

93

T Stewart

92

R Newman

91

M Martin

90

K Harvick

89

M Truex

89

P Menard

89

C Edwards

88

C Bowyer

87

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

G Biffle

94

D Earnhardt Jr

92

R Newman

91

J Gordon

90

M Truex

90

B Keselowski

90

K Kahne

89

C Edwards

89

J Johnson

88

P Menard

87

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

J Gordon

272

J Johnson

269

C Edwards

269

K Harvick

267

C Bowyer

265

T Stewart

264

M Truex

264

R Newman

264

D Earnhardt Jr

261

P Menard

258

M Kenseth

257

G Biffle

256

B Keselowski

255

K Kahne

252

J Logano

250

JP Montoya

250

Ky Busch

248

D Hamlin

248

Ku Busch

247

M Martin

247

J Burton

246

M Ambrose

244

AJ Allmendinger

243

A Almirola

242

R Stenhouse Jr

241

J McMurray

240

D Ragan

232

D Reutimann

230

D Gilliland

229

B Labonte

228

D Blaney

222

C Mears

220

T Kvapil

220

D Stremme

216

D Patrick

214

Kurt Busch

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 34th)

Jeff Gordon- Rounding into form and now a track he is strong at too

(12 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 7th)

Ryan Newman- Team showed signs of life now can they get driver to behave?

(75 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 40th)

Jimmie Johnson- Will bounce back from the black flag with chip on shoulder

(5 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 4th)     

Kurt Busch- Driver ability comes into play more on the roval

(20 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 27th)   

AJ Allmendinger- Good time to use one of his starts in this group

(300 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Pocono

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 3-2 in week 13 and Lori leads the game 9-4 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Jimmie Johnson and Dennis picks Kasey Kahne

Group 2: Dennis picks Jeff Gordon and Lori picks Tony Stewart

Group 3: Lori picks Joey Logano and Dennis picks Ryan Newman

Group 4: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Lori picks AJ Allmendinger and Dennis picks David Stremme

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Monster Bites – Fantasy Insight Dover

Clint Bowyer

Racing at the “Monster Mile” can try a driver’s patience. You can be cruising along with a five-second lead but then a wreck in lapped traffic can end your day. Ask Mark Martin all about that sort of scenario. So handicapping a race at the “Monster Mile” is tough because bad things can happen to high rated drivers. Sometimes you have to go beyond the numbers to see who might have a golden horseshoe in their possession for good luck.

One part of the ratings equation that does come in handy here is the Consistency Factor. As weird as it sounds, guys seldom have two bad races in a row unless they are in a downtrend of performance. So analyzing the Consistency factor gives us an idea of the guys that are not at the top of their game and quite often those are the guys the “Monster” bites.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Dover.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

Help Kris Martin Become NASCAR’s First Deaf Racer

Kris Martin was born to race!

Kris is following in his grandfather’s footsteps and is trying to race his way all the way to NASCAR. But Kris was born profoundly Deaf. Technology helps Kris hear his Crew Chief and Spotter so he can race safely but sponsors are not willing to take a chance on him…yet. Your help in funding his racing this season can help Kris show sponsors he will be an excellent representative for them all the way to NASCAR. I am working with Kris Martin Racing and his family to help them make this dream come true.

http://igg.me/at/krismartinracing/x/2900200

Weather Report

Partly cloudy, warm and humid with a high near 87F

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders.

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Denny Hamlin

 

Driver

Last 5

M Kenseth

94

C Bowyer

91

C Edwards

91

J Johnson

91

K Harvick

90

M Truex

90

J Gordon

86

D Hamlin

86

Ku Busch

86

K Kahne

86 

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Johnson

95

C Edwards

91

K Harvick

91

J Gordon

90

Ky Busch

90

M Martin

90

D Hamlin

89

M Kenseth

88

J Logano

88

C Bowyer

87 

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

C Bowyer

94

J Johnson

92

M Truex

92

B Keselowski

91

D Earnhardt Jr

90

K Harvick

89

J Logano

88

K Kahne

87

M Martin

87

P Menard

86

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

J Johnson

278

C Bowyer

272

K Harvick

270

M Truex

265

M Kenseth

264

C Edwards

262

J Gordon

261

D Hamlin

261

J Logano

258

K Kahne

258

D Earnhardt Jr

256

M Martin

255

B Keselowski

254

P Menard

254

Ku Busch

252

R Newman

252

Ky Busch

251

A Almirola

249

J Burton

247

J McMurray

246

G Biffle

246

M Ambrose

245

R Smith

243

T Stewart

239

JP Montoya

239

B Labonte

233

D Ragan

229

D Gilliland

226

C Mears

220

T Kvapil

218

D Blaney

216

Kyle Busch

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 22nd)

Denny Hamlin- Sure seems healthy enough to battle the Monster 

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 5th)    

Joey Logano- 35 to 1 is a great price for the kid

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 15th)    

Matt Kenseth- As Lori Munro said on RTR this week he is the new Jimmie Johnson

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 31st)        

Kyle Busch- Seems to attack this type of track but can he keep from getting bitten?

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 14th)  

Austin Dillon- Good week to use a part timer

Crazy 8s for Dover

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Dennis won 3-2 in week 12 and Lori leads the game 8-4 for the year

Group 1: Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson and Lori picks Clint Bowyer

Group 2: Lori picks Kyle Busch and Dennis picks Brad Keselowski

Group 3: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Joey Logano

Group 4: Lori picks Mark Martin and Dennis picks Casey Mears

Group 5: Dennis picks David Reutimann and Lori picks Austin Dillon

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

First Ballot Hall of Famer – Fantasy Insight Charlotte

Matt Kenseth

The NASCAR Hall of Fame announced its Class of 2014 on Wednesday evening and two first ballot candidates were part of that class. The glaring omission from the Class of 2014 was Fred Lorenzen, one of the pioneers of the sport who should have gone in at the same time as Tim Flock and Fireball Roberts.

This is not to take away from the two first ballot hall of fame members Maurice Petty or Dale Jarrett because there is no doubt their accomplishments are worthy of the NASCAR Hall of Fame. But that first ballot status should be reserved for the absolute best of the best in the sport’s history. NASCAR fans have three future first ballot hall of fame members competing right now in NASCAR and one of those guys is my pick this week.

Jimmie Johnson has owned Charlotte Motor Speedway. Six of his sixty-two career wins have come at Charlotte with three wins in the Coke 600 classic. Only Martinsville and Dover have the honor of more visits to Victory Lane from this lock to be a first ballot hall of fame member.

In fact his resume is even more impressive than the other two first ballot worthy drivers we get to watch every Sunday in the NASCAR Sprint Cup division. Johnson is also the only one of that three you want on your fantasy team this week.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Charlotte.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

Help Kris Martin Become NASCAR’s First Deaf Racer

Kris Martin was born to race!

Kris is following in his grandfather’s footsteps and is trying to race his way all the way to NASCAR. But Kris was born profoundly Deaf. Technology helps Kris hear his Crew Chief and Spotter so he can race safely but sponsors are not willing to take a chance on him…yet. Your help in funding his racing this season can help Kris show sponsors he will be an excellent representative for them all the way to NASCAR. I am working with Kris Martin Racing and his family to help them make this dream come true.

http://igg.me/at/krismartinracing/x/2900200

Weather Report

Mostly clear with a green flag temperature of 75F, temps cooling into the mid to upper 60s by the checkered flag

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 


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Hamlin as the New Cinderella – Fantasy Insight Darlington

Denny Hamlin

Over the years in NASCAR racing there are race winners that seem to fit the script so perfectly the tin foil hat brigade has the perfect conspiracy theory material possible: Dale Earnhardt Jr. winning at Daytona in the first race there after his Dad died. Kevin Harvick winning in his third start in the Cup series after replacing the famous No. 3 was more conspiracy theory fodder. How about Jimmie Johnson winning the last race at Lowes Motor Speedway? Then of course there is Danica Patrick winning the pole at the Daytona 500 in her rookie season.

This week NASCAR adds another Cinderella story to their history with Denny Hamlin winning in his first full race back.

This isn’t just wishful thinking to fit a pattern for a wonderful article, the numbers back my prediction up. Hamlin is on top of the Horses for Courses ratings by five full points! This is very rare in power ratings for any driver to have that big of an advantage on the field. If anybody is going to beat Hamlin, Johnson is probably the best pick. It takes good luck to go with skill at the “Lady in Black.” Isn’t Hamlin due for some good luck too? He will be the next Cinderella Story in NASCAR.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Darlington.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

Help Kris Martin Become NASCAR’s First Deaf Racer

Kris Martin was born to race!

Kris is following in his grandfather’s footsteps and is trying to race his way all the way to NASCAR. But Kris was born profoundly Deaf. Technology helps Kris hear his Crew Chief and Spotter so he can race safely but sponsors are not willing to take a chance on him…yet. Your help in funding his racing this season can help Kris show sponsors he will be an excellent representative for them all the way to NASCAR. I am working with Kris Martin Racing and his family to help them make this dream come true.

http://igg.me/at/krismartinracing/x/2900200

Weather Report

Increasing cloudiness with a chance for showers and thunderstorms with a high temperature of 85F

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

95

C Bowyer

92

M Kenseth

92

C Edwards

91

A Almirola

89

M Truex

88

B Keselowski

87

K Kahne

86

J Gordon

86

K Harvick

86

Jeff Gordon

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

D Hamlin

94

B Keselowski

89

Ky Busch

89

M Truex

89

J Gordon

89

C Edwards

89

T Stewart

89

M Kenseth

88

J Johnson

88

R Newman

86 

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

J Johnson

96

C Bowyer

96

J Gordon

93

B Keselowski

90

K Kahne

90

M Kenseth

89

C Edwards

88

K Harvick

86

J Burton

86

A Almirola

86

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

J Johnson

279

J Gordon

269

M Kenseth

268

C Edwards

268

B Keselowski

266

C Bowyer

265

D Hamlin

262

K Kahne

259

K Harvick

257

Ky Busch

255

M Truex

254

T Stewart

252

J Burton

252

A Almirola

251

D Earnhardt Jr

250

M Martin

250

J McMurray

250

R Smith

249

G Biffle

249

R Newman

247

P Menard

246

J Logano

245

R Stenhouse Jr

243

M Ambrose

243

JP Montoya

242

Ku Busch

240

B Labonte

236

D Ragan

232

D Reutimann

225

D Patrick

224

D Blaney

223

C Mears

223

D Gilliland

222

T Kvapil

218

D Stremme

217

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team

Carl Edwards

succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 18th)

Denny Hamlin- Add another page to the rich history of come-back wins

(8 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 28th)          

Tony Stewart- Solid Horses for Courses rating and can’t stay this bad much longer

(25 to 1 Odds)               

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 40th)       

Jimmie Johnson- Best bet for a top five finish this week

(6 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 17th)       

Carl Edwards- In the top ten in all three categories  

(10 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 4th)  

Ricky Stenhouse Jr- Won the pole and finished sixth in Nationwide race here

(50 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Darlington

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 5-0 in week 10 and leads the game 8-2 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Clint Bowyer and Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Dennis picks Matt Kenseth and Lori picks Kevin Harvick

Group 3: Lori picks Tony Stewart and Dennis picks Ryan Newman

Group 4: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks JP Montoya

Group 5: Lori picks Regan Smith and Dennis picks David Reutimann

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Earnhardt Rigged This Roulette Wheel – Fantasy Insight Talladega 1

Dale Earnhardt, JR

Every time the NASCAR Sprint Cup circus heads to Talladega Superspeedway we hear about how this race is a crap shoot, a flip of the coin or a spin of the old roulette wheel. People make this sound so unpredictable.

Oh sure, there are big crashes that sometimes take out the top guys and let a longshot win the race. But for every longshot winner there is a solid pick. If this race was such a crap shoot or a spin of the roulette wheel how did Dale Earnhardt win ten times? How did Dale Jr win four in a row? Maybe the Earnhardt family rigged this roulette wheel.

One thing that has made this race a little more unpredictable this year is the unknown over whether the two-car push will work at all here. Earlier this season at Daytona the restrictive rules and a change to the front end of these Gen Six cars seemed to make the two-car tandem difficult to pull off for any length of time.

But this is Talladega where the transitions in the corners are not as severe. This is Talladega where the tires don’t wear as bad as Daytona. My gut feeling is that we will see pack racing until the closing laps and then we will see a few guys figure out how to make the two-car push work. But if tandem racing goes away we might see a return of Earnhardt dominance of this roulette wheel. (And since Lori Munro from Doin’ Donuts on RaceTalkRadio.com has picked Junior this week include him on your race team).

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Talladega.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com.

Help Kris Martin Become NASCAR’s First Deaf RacerKris Martin was born to race!

Kris is following in his grandfather’s footsteps and is trying to race his way all the way to NASCAR. But Kris was born profoundly Deaf. Technology helps Kris hear his Crew Chief and Spotter so he can race safely but sponsors are not willing to take a chance on him…yet. Your help in funding his racing this season can help Kris show sponsors he will be an excellent representative for them all the way to NASCAR. I am working with Kris Martin Racing and his family to help them make this dream come true.

http://igg.me/at/krismartinracing/x/2900200

 Weather Report

Mostly Cloudy with a threat of showers, high temp in the upper 60s

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

 NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

J Johnson

93

M Kenseth

92

C Edwards

91

K Kahne

91

R Smith

90

K Harvick

90

C Bowyer

89

A Almirola

89

Ky Busch

88

J Logano

87

 Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Matt Kenseth

 

Driver

Course

C Bowyer

93

G Biffle

90

B Keselowski

90

M Kenseth

86

J Burton

86

J Gordon

86

M Truex

86

K Harvick

85

K Kahne

84

J Johnson

84

 Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

M Kenseth

92

G Biffle

92

D Earnhardt Jr

90

B Keselowski

90

J Burton

89

R Newman

86

R Stenhouse Jr

86

Ky Busch

85

B Labonte

84

C Bowyer

84

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

M Kenseth

271

G Biffle

268

C Bowyer

267

B Keselowski

265

J Burton

259

K Kahne

259

D Earnhardt Jr

257

K Harvick

256

J Johnson

255

Ky Busch

255

J Gordon

254

P Menard

253

M Truex

253

R Smith

252

C Edwards

251

A Almirola

251

J Logano

251

R Newman

247

T Bayne

247

T Stewart

242

M Waltrip

240

R Stenhouse Jr

240

J McMurray

238

D Ragan

237

T Kvapil

236

D Reutimann

236

B Labonte

235

M Ambrose

234

D Gilliland

233

C Mears

231

Ku Busch

229

D Blaney

228

JP Montoya

226

D Patrick

225

D Stremme

213

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 2nd)

Kevin Harvick

Clint Bowyer- Much better luck at Dega than Daytona

(12 to 1 Odds)

 Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 38th)         

Jeff Burton- RCR factor and Burton is smart plate racer

(40 to 1 Odds)

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 12th)      

Kevin Harvick- Love those RCR cars here

(12 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 24th)      

Dale Earnhardt Jr- If pack racing is back this could be Dale’s race to lose

(12 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 16th)

Michael Waltrip- Came so close to winning here last season

(40 to 1 Odds)

Crazy 8s for Talladega

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 3-2 in week 9 and leads the game 7-2 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Dale Earnhardt Jr and Dennis picks Clint Bowyer

Group 2: Dennis picks Kevin Harvick and Lori picks Matt Kenseth

Group 3: Lori picks Tony Stewart and Dennis picks Jeff Burton

Group 4: Dennis picks Denny Hamlin and Lori picks Danica Patrick

Group 5: Lori picks Michael Waltrip and Dennis picks Trevor Bayne

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Fantasy Racers Need a Durometer Rating – Fantasy Insight Richmond 1

Kasey Kahne

In any form of race handicapping you can be overwhelmed with data. NASCAR’s loop statistics are a great example of having too much data. They rate so many different pieces of data that it is impossible to use it all.

How important is “Average Race Position” when it comes to handicapping? Some drivers are great at sneaking up on the competition late in the race because their Crew Chief is always making the car better as the race unfolds. Should we factor in the number of “Green Flag Passes” or what they define as “Quality Passes”?

While every piece of this data has its use the end result is what we are really looking for at the end of the day. Power Ratings use an algorithm that minimizes a “Bad Luck Day” while maximizing data from a large enough sample size to factor out the “Good Luck” finishes.  But one piece of data I wish we had more of is durometer data.

What is a durometer?

A durometer measures the hardness of objects including tires. Last week at Kansas Speedway I wish I had checked the hardness of the tires because one driver has a horrible record on hard tires. While Dorothy wanted to get home to Kansas you can be sure that Kyle Busch would love to never go there again. This has not been a great track for Busch over the years but he does even worse when hard tires are used at this track. If you dig through the tire notes on JAYSKI along with good note taking from races you can see that on intermediate speedways Busch struggles when harder tire compounds are in use. This week at Richmond the same tire codes will be used this weekend as NASCAR teams used over the last two seasons. If you look at the last four races worth of data from Richmond the top five drivers active this week are Busch, Tony Stewart, Carl Edwards, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin. I don’t trust Tony Stewart based on the current form this season but the other guys are strong picks this week based on the durometer.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Richmond Speedway.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

Weather Report

Increasing clouds with a slight chance of showers late in the race, green flag temp around 65F with temps falling into the mid 50s by the end of the race.

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

K Kahne

95

Ky Busch

92

AJ Allmendinger

92

J Johnson

91

B Keselowski

91

G Biffle

90

C Bowyer

89

C Edwards

89

J McMurray

88

P Menard

87 

Clint Bowyer

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

Ky Busch

95

T Stewart

92

C Bowyer

92

C Edwards

91

K Harvick

90

M Martin

89

AJ Allmendinger

88

R Stenhouse Jr

88

J Johnson

88

R Newman

88 

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

C Bowyer

96

J Johnson

96

J Gordon

95

B Keselowski

94

K Kahne

91

M Kenseth

89

Brian Vickers

88

M Martin

88

T Stewart

87

G Biffle

87

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

C Bowyer

277

J Johnson

275

Ky Busch

272

K Kahne

270

B Keselowski

270

C Edwards

266

J Gordon

264

AJ Allmendinger

263

M Kenseth

262

K Harvick

261

M Martin

261

G Biffle

261

Brian Vickers

258

T Stewart

257

R Newman

256

R Stenhouse Jr

255

D Earnhardt Jr

253

J McMurray

252

A Almirola

247

J Burton

246

P Menard

246

M Ambrose

246

J Logano

244

Ku Busch

238

M Truex

238

JP Montoya

237

C Mears

233

B Labonte

230

D Patrick

228

D Ragan

227

D Blaney

218

D Reutimann

216

D Gilliland

215

T Kvapil

213

D Stremme

213

Mark Martin

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 3rd)   

Clint Bowyer- Tops the Power Ratings this week

(10 to 1 Odds) 

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 21st)        

Mark Martin- Top 5 in one-third of his Richmond starts

(30 to 1 Odds)            

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 38th)     

Jimmie Johnson- Always a safe pick for your top group

(8 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 4th)     

Kyle Busch- Short track is the perfect remedy for a horrible race last week

(9 to 2 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 37th)         

Ricky Stenhouse Jr- Has a real shot for a win here

Crazy 8s for Richmond

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 3-2 in week 8 and leads the game 6-2 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Kyle Busch and Dennis picks Jimmie Johnson

Group 2: Dennis picks Clint Bowyer and Lori picks Kevin Harvick

Group 3: Lori picks Joey Logano and Dennis picks Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Group 4: Dennis picks Danica Patrick and Lori picks JP Montoya

Group 5: Lori picks Brian Vickers and Dennis picks AJ Allmendinger

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Not The Old Kansas Any More – Fantasy Insight Kansas

When this track opened in 2001 it was very fast and rather flat leading to mainly single file racing. The race was held in September and the temperatures were often very warm leading to a slick track too. Last year the new repaved track threw teams curveballs. But now Kansas Speedway has added a new casino and that has earned them a second race date, now placed in mid April.

Since Global Warming seems to be on vacation it might be a bit on the cool side which goes against all of the team’s notes at this track. A freshly repaved track, a new car, new tires and cooler weather let us know this isn’t the old Kansas any more.

This week I am a little more reluctant to put too much faith in the Horses for Courses rating due to all of the changes at Kansas. The track now has progressive banking which makes it very different from the type of track the rating describes. But even at repaved tracks the overall Power Ratings have proven to be very successful since they show which driver is coming into the event on a solid streak. The uncertainty over how different this track will race has me convinced to go with the overall Power Rating king and that is why I chose Jimmie Johnson this week.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Kansas Speedway.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

Weather Report

Mostly cloudy and cool with a green flag temperature of 60F.

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week.

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

Ky Busch

97

K Kahne

95

B Keselowski

91

Brian Vickers

91

C Edwards

91

J Johnson

91

G Biffle

91

J Logano

88

K Harvick

88

P Menard

87

Kyle Busch

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

J Johnson

96

M Kenseth

96

K Harvick

93

C Edwards

92

T Stewart

91

B Keselowski

91

G Biffle

90

K Kahne

88

P Menard

88

J Gordon

86

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

B Keselowski

96

J Johnson

96

K Kahne

95

D Earnhardt Jr

93

K Harvick

93

M Kenseth

89

C Edwards

89

Ky Busch

89

R Stenhouse Jr

89

T Stewart

87

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

J Johnson

282

B Keselowski

278

K Kahne

278

K Harvick

273

M Kenseth

272

C Edwards

272

Ky Busch

269

G Biffle

266

D Earnhardt Jr

264

P Menard

260

T Stewart

258

M Truex

258

C Bowyer

255

Brian Vickers

254

J Logano

253

Ku Busch

250

R Stenhouse Jr

249

R Newman

248

J McMurray

246

M Martin

245

M Ambrose

245

J Gordon

244

A Almirola

239

JP Montoya

238

T Bayne

234

J Burton

233

D Ragan

232

D Patrick

229

D Reutimann

225

C Mears

224

T Kvapil

220

D Stremme

216

D Gilliland

216

D Blaney

214

B Labonte

214

Tony Stewart

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter.

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 12th)  

Jimmie Johnson- Sometimes you can’t look past the obvious choice

(6 to 1 Odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 14th)       

Tony Stewart- Over due for a strong performance and a nice price this week

(20 to 1 Odds)            

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 6th)    

Kyle Busch- He is in that groove that makes him a contender every week

(7 to 1 Odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 3rd)    

Martin Truex Jr- Bridesmaid again at Texas but I understand he caught the bouquet

(15 to 1 Odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 40th)        

Sam Hornish Jr- Best to use the part timers when you can in this group

Crazy 8s for Kansas

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 3-2 in week 7 and leads the game 5-2 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Jimmie Johnson and Dennis picks Kyle Busch

Group 2: Dennis picks Matt Kenseth and Lori picks Kevin Harvick

Group 3: Lori picks Tony Stewart and Dennis picks Martin Truex Jr

Group 4: Dennis picks David Ragan and Lori picks JP Montoya

Group 5: Lori picks Brian Vickers and Dennis picks Sam Hornish Jr

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

Roushkateer or the Former Roushkateer – Fantasy Insight Texas

Matt Kenseth

Regular readers of Fantasy Insight know that I am a big believer in “Horses for Courses.” For those new to this feature this week that term simply means that certain drivers or teams perform better at certain tracks. When it comes to Texas Motor Speedway the drivers from Roush Racing have chalked up more than their fair share of wins. But this week I have to go against the conventional wisdom and pick a Toyota guy.

Matt Kenseth is coming into this race hotter than a Texas wildfire. His Horses for Courses rating is a near perfect 97. My only concern is whether the Toyota engines will show some fatigue on this super fast track over the course of 500 miles. That is why the smart fantasy handicapper will balance his or her lineup with some guys in Ford and Hendrick Chevy rides this week.

Good luck with your fantasy racing picks this week and don’t forget to send in your pick for “Whiteboard Fantasy Racing” this week for Texas Motor Speedway.

Send in your pick to win this week’s Cup race to dennis@racetalkradio.com for a chance to win a copy of the National Speedway Directory from SpeedwaysOnline.com. 

Weather Report

Mostly fair and pleasant with a green flag temperature of 76F

If you have a question about Fantasy Racing send it to dennis@racetalkradio.com and get it answered next week. 

NASCAR by the Numbers

Using a proprietary race analysis technique we take the fans inside the numbers every week. DMIC’s rating system has been in use since 2002 and has proven to pick the contenders from the pretenders!

Consistency is King (Last Five Races)

Driver

Last 5

Ky Busch

93

K Kahne

93

B Keselowski

92

Brian Vickers

92

J Johnson

91

C Edwards

91

D Earnhardt Jr

91

M Kenseth

88

G Biffle

88

K Harvick

88

Mark Martin

Horses for Courses (Track Rating)

Driver

Course

M Kenseth

97

G Biffle

95

J Johnson

93

C Bowyer

92

T Stewart

89

R Stenhouse Jr

89

C Edwards

89

K Harvick

89

D Earnhardt Jr

88

K Kahne

86

Type Casting (Track Type Factor)

Driver

Type

Ky Busch

96

B Keselowski

95

M Kenseth

92

D Earnhardt Jr

92

K Harvick

91

M Truex

91

G Biffle

90

J Johnson

90

K Kahne

88

J Gordon

87

Power Rating (240 Minimum to Qualify as Contender)

Driver

Power

M Kenseth

277

J Johnson

274

G Biffle

273

D Earnhardt Jr

272

Ky Busch

271

K Kahne

267

K Harvick

267

B Keselowski

267

C Edwards

267

C Bowyer

263

T Stewart

257

J Gordon

256

P Menard

254

M Truex

254

J Logano

252

R Stenhouse Jr

250

M Martin

250

Brian Vickers

249

Ku Busch

248

J McMurray

243

AJ Allmendinger

241

R Newman

241

A Almirola

241

M Ambrose

239

J Burton

236

T Bayne

235

JP Montoya

234

C Mears

231

D Patrick

229

D Ragan

227

D Stremme

222

B Labonte

218

D Reutimann

217

T Kvapil

216

D Blaney

215

D Gilliland

215

Jimmie Johnson

DMIC’s Fantasy Picks presented by Speedwaysonline.com

Each week we will take you beyond the numbers to handicap the field from top to bottom to help your Fantasy Racing team succeed. You are also invited to join Lori Munro and I on “White Board Fantasy Racing” every Monday night on “Doin’ Donuts” at 8pm ET on RaceTalkRadio.com. Win fun prizes by picking just the race winners in our unique format. Send your picks to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. 

Top Pick (Last Week Finished 24th)

Matt Kenseth-Power Ranking leader and leads active drivers in top 5s finishes here

(12 to 1 odds)

Best Long Shot (Odds of 20-1 or More) (Last Week Finished 31st)      

Mark Martin- Back with the team that knows what he likes in a car

(30 to 1 odds)               

Top Dogs (Group A in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 3rd)   

Jimmie Johnson- Best bet for a top 5 finish among the rest of the field

(6 to 1 odds)

Second Class (Group B in Yahoo) (Last Week Won Pole and Finished 10th)   

Carl Edwards- Roush has done great here in the past

(10 to 1 odds)

Middle Packer (Group C in Yahoo) (Last Week Finished 22nd)       

Ricky Stenhouse Jr- Strong record at TMS in Nationwide cars

Crazy 8s for Texas

Each week Lori Munro and Dennis Michelsen battle in the most unique racing game around! We pick one driver each from each 8 driver group using the current points’ standings. Our picks can help you round out your fantasy racing lineup!

Lori won 4-1 in week 6 and leads the game 4-2 for the year

Group 1: Lori picks Jimmie Johnson and Dennis picks Kasey Kahne

Group 2: Dennis picks Matt Kenseth and Lori picks Clint Bowyer

Group 3: Lori picks Tony Stewart and Dennis picks Mark Martin

Group 4: Dennis picks Danica Patrick and Lori picks JP Montoya

Group 5: Lori picks Brian Vickers and Dennis picks Austin Dillon

Do you have what it takes to handicap the races? Join Lori and Dennis every week and play in the Whiteboard Fantasy Racing Series! Send your pick for the Cup race to info@racetalkradio.com to enter. Weekly prize given away! 

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